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NPembrush
Lake Forest, OC, CA
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since Jul 19 2018

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It's not the end of the world.
Mar 14 2020 11:07AM more by NPembrush
Tags: Orange County, Current Events (All tags)

You'll listen or you won't. I have background in paleontology, anthropology and epidemiology. I've done research on extinction events.I'm not a doctor so if you do come down with it, check with your doctor on what to do.

Hominids and Homo Sapiens during our short existence on this earth have survived three mega volcano eruptions, a major meteor impact in North America, several regional and global climate events and maybe (not confirmed, I doubt it...) a super nova which fried our ozone.

We're still here.

This virus is serious but it is not a species killer just as Ebola, Hanta, West Nile and the Black Plague were not. Pathogens by themselves just by their own flaws and our immune systems just can't kill off an entire species. We'll survive. Society will survive. At worst things will suck for a few months. People might loose jobs, services will be disrupted, shortages of stuff. Almost all of that is from hominids panicking because they don't understand.

You're still here now. Your fine. I wish the terminal stage syphilis suffering political boomers would stop though. Not helping.

It's still a mean virus so hey if you catch it may or may not suck.

      
There are 23 comments on this blog.
Al_Most_Perfect
Bay Area, CA
142 blogs/2367 comments
since Sep 19 2012

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Mar 14 2020 11:14AM     link to this

"Hey cheer up! The black plague only killed 100 million people. And civilization was restored in less than 400 years. It wasn't the end of the world!"
NPembrush
Lake Forest, OC, CA
50 blogs/1338 comments
since Jul 19 2018

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Mar 14 2020 11:35AM     link to this

Smart ass, my point is that is NOT the end of the world.

COVID-19 lethality ~3% (final number will change with time as post impact numbers are assessed)
Yersinia pestis lethality ranges from 30-60%
Meteor impacts and mega volcano eruptions: 100% lethality declining with distance.
Facephuckker
Austin, TX
149 blogs/9752 comments
since Sep 10 2009

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Mar 14 2020 12:25PM     link to this

100 million is barely a spec in india or china
sherkahn
Diamond Bar, SGV, LA, CA
Pomona, Inland Empire, CA Today!
1113 blogs/5529 comments
since Apr 27 2008

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Mar 14 2020 12:54PM     link to this

All of this is impersonal until it’s someone you know.

And now it’s someone I know at Santa Monica. No, not dead, but infected and may have spread to people in our mutual social circles.
Facephuckker
Austin, TX
149 blogs/9752 comments
since Sep 10 2009

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Mar 14 2020 01:26PM     link to this

50 dead out of 330 million is .0000015%
we better panic some more
Al_Most_Perfect
Bay Area, CA
142 blogs/2367 comments
since Sep 19 2012

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Mar 14 2020 01:56PM     link to this

https://www.worldometers.info/ has data on all kinds of stuff, including Corona virus. It's an apolitical site. According to their numbers, 47.7% of people known to have the virus recovered from it, 3.7% died, and another 3.8% are in critical condition. The other 44.6% are in mild condition.

The number of known cases increased by about 50% in the past week.

Of course, the known information is insufficient since testing has been insufficient.

But in America, there's 2,499 known cases, 55 deaths, and 49 recovered. So "just" 2% died but less than 2% have recovered. Nobody really yet knows how deadly it is. We just know it's spreading fast. That's why people are panicking- not because they are afraid the world is going to end as if struck by meteor, Dr. Pangloss.

AlexisSweet69
Corona, Inland Empire, CA
1058 blogs/23248 comments
since Feb 16 2014

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Mar 14 2020 02:14PM     link to this

+1000 Karma.Miyiana
oldbaldy69
Inland Empire, CA
6 blogs/392 comments
since May 26 2009

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Mar 14 2020 02:59PM     link to this

I don't understand this emphasis on testing

there is no specific treatment for this virus and if a person is sick they will get the same hydration and rest advise regardless if its this Chinese flu or something else and the same precautions against spreading germs

if YOU are sick, stay home and infect your own family instead of going out and spreading your sickness 'cos I don't want whatever you have even if it's just a simple cold

a great doctor I know tells me, "I'll tell you when to panic and this is not the time"

jazz51
Laguna Hills/Woods, OC, CA
258 blogs/12871 comments
since Sep 24 2008

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Mar 14 2020 03:05PM     link to this

I have never showed up with a cold or any sickness. It is only common sense and respect for the other person to be healthy when you come to visit.
jazz51
Laguna Hills/Woods, OC, CA
258 blogs/12871 comments
since Sep 24 2008

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Mar 14 2020 03:30PM     link to this

Besides...how can anyone really have fun when they are not feeling well......

I want to have my partner at full speed and me the same......
Chucklaylo
City of Ventura, Ventura, Central Coast, CA
13 blogs/1250 comments
since Aug 25 2007

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Mar 14 2020 03:38PM     link to this

At the time of the Black Plague, 100 million was a very significant percentage of the worlds population.
jazz51
Laguna Hills/Woods, OC, CA
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since Sep 24 2008

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Mar 14 2020 03:39PM     link to this

I think our medical knowledge and capability is a bit better now than the time of the Black Plague.
artnjazz
Santa Monica, LA, CA
19 blogs/5284 comments
since Aug 10 2015

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Mar 14 2020 04:11PM     link to this

Not too long ago before COVIV-19, I had to cancel on someone because I got a cough the night before meeting the next day. I take illnesses very seriously no matter what the condition a person finds themselves on.

If your body doesn't feel right, take a break and stay home to recover.

I never heard back from that person, not even a slight get well soon.

Looking back, a right decision was made on my part.
NPembrush
Lake Forest, OC, CA
50 blogs/1338 comments
since Jul 19 2018

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Mar 14 2020 04:25PM     link to this

Sighs and ignores Al.

One thing will remain the same, damn the women on HX are fine. Some of the finest on the planet.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
152 blogs/11237 comments
since Dec 12 2019

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Mar 14 2020 04:33PM     link to this

^ no shit! I hope they don't all die!
Angler1
CA
90 blogs/5963 comments
since Jan 6 2008

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Mar 14 2020 04:41PM     link to this

Hey OP, how can you say the lethality is about 3% without knowing how many people have the virus?
It has been stated by that many will not know they are infected.

I for one am not worried about this virus. To me it's another flu. Flu kills 10s of thousands every year.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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since Dec 12 2019

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Mar 14 2020 04:43PM     link to this

Careful, MostlyAnnoying2020 might hear you!

Billions will die, get some pussy before you go!
Angler1
CA
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since Jan 6 2008

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Mar 14 2020 05:02PM     link to this

After the BBQ, I'll be getting some pussy in tbe spa!
Al_Most_Perfect
Bay Area, CA
142 blogs/2367 comments
since Sep 19 2012

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Mar 14 2020 05:17PM     link to this

"I don't understand this emphasis on testing...if YOU are sick, stay home and infect your own family instead of going out and spreading your sickness"

You answered your own question. If diagnoses were available, people with mild sniffles wouldn't be directed to self-quarantine and miss work. Congress is trying to give tax credits to employers who pay their employees to stay home if they have a cough. Without knowing who has the virus, it's kind of hard to quarantine them. There's other reasons, too, but that's probably the main one.
Run-key
OC, CA
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since Aug 30 2010

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Mar 14 2020 08:33PM     link to this

Humaniplex: where the Worlds great thinkers go to think
dblednmike
Carson, Inland Cities, LA, CA
73 blogs/1375 comments
since Jan 28 2008

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Mar 14 2020 08:35PM     link to this

Two things about testing. They are not sure if test will register the virus if you are not symptomatic. So expanded testing may not be as helpful as everyone would like.

Personally, I would like everyone to get tested if it were feasible. I think we would find out that the numbers are a lot higher than anyone would guess, which is actually a good thing. Right now that 3% mortality rate is based on known numbers, but they are only testing people that were really sick, so you’re going to have a higher perceived mortality rate. If the number of people that tested positive quadrupled, the number of deaths stays the same, and the mortality rate drops to less than 1%.

That being said, if you’re one of those that dies, it’s 100%. But the people at primary risk are the elderly and those with serious underlying medical conditions.
dakegg
LA, CA
9 blogs/817 comments
since Jun 8 2006

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Mar 14 2020 09:17PM     link to this

I agree with the op even though I do not have the same credentials but I did stay at a holiday inn.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
152 blogs/11237 comments
since Dec 12 2019

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Mar 14 2020 10:32PM     link to this

You guys are all fucking crazy!

I have it on good authority from MostlyAnnoying2020, that millions will be dead very soon and civilization will collapse.

You should shun your neighbor, no better yet, kill them before they get within say 20 yards or you will be zombified too.

Beg, borrow and steal all the TP you can find, carry it to a cave in the mountains and hunker down for at least a year. Tell me your address and I'll watch your place, make sure nobody steals your shit.

This has been an HX Public Service Announcement.
There are 23 comments on this blog.