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Lichtman got 2000 and 2016 wrong. He predicted a Gore winning presidency in 2000 and predicted Trump winning the popular vote in 2016
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Well, Gore did win the popular vote in 2000 (as he predicted), and his election was decided by the decision to de facto end the recount by the Supreme Court. Trump did win the Presidency in 2016 (as he predicted).
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Uhhh... I wouldn’t call Mr. Lichtman an unbiased prognosticator.
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all these prognosticators are trying the same thing, they are desperately trying to get people to give up and not vote, people dont want to admit they voted for the losing side , its human nature, its not about what is good for the country , its about people's ego so they can puff their chest and say , See I told you so...
If the polls and the prognosticators were correct then why is NP and the rest of the country trying desperately trying everything they can to remove him from office...the only hope they have is to discourage Trump backers from voting because they think he has already lost..the media in Calif and NY have no idea what the rest of the country thinks
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Talk of "CASES " is meaning less.
We will pee on your back and tell you it is raining. 
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Algorithyms are still inputted by man.
Know who and how the Electoral College votes and you have the winner. 270 is all that is needed to win. Your vote be dammed.
Vote NO on all the Props.
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@PA970 -
Gore did win in 2000. The problem was the screw-up in Broward Country with the ballots. I do not think anyone really believes that Pat Buchanan overwhelmingly won the Jewish vote in Ft. Lauderdale, Miami, Boca Raton, etc.
Don't the Trumpites still believe he won the popular vote in 2016. Certainly, Trump acts like he did. It was the voting from Mexico that cost him the popular vote plurality. Lol.
Anyone that believes with certainty that they can predict the outcome of a Presidential election probably also believes they can time/predict the stock market. Good luck with that. Fitting a model to past results and then asserting it is foolproof is dubious. Models can tell you if an event is more likely than not to occur but it is highly exaggerated to state that they are the holy grail. Even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
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I don’t know any Trump supporters that are disputing the 2016 popular vote.
What I have heard is the popular vote is moot. You can’t win CA and NY by 4 million votes... and lose the majority of the rest of the country and win. You have to campaign and convince voters everywhere.
I think it’s silly to say... “but we won the popular vote.” That’s great... but that is not how the election is decided.
That is like a pole vaulter saying, .... “I ran way faster than he did on the approach!” The answer, “Yes you did. Good for you. But... the thing that decides it is who clears that bar way up there. “
Everyone knew how it worked....but she thought The Donald had no chance. If you want to be president you have to run I and win in multiple parts of America...
Oh well... in about 3 weeks we will know who will be the president come January 20th.
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We already know, Joe and Harris. Very pleased and climactic about this!!
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| There are 9 comments on this blog. |
