There are 42 comments on this blog. This blog is locked and no further comments are permitted. |
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Lmfao at yahoo
Trump is crushing in early votes in key battleground states. His rallys also have 20% democrat and 20% new voter turnout. Biden isnt winning anything cupcake without significant voter fraud. I cant wait for your liberal tears
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Then get ready to bend over and pay through the nose....tax increases, increased energy costs, loss of jobs shipped to China....and more lockdowns.....
That will be the America you deserve......
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Blah blah blah. More Republican/Russian talking points.
Bottom line as per a reporter who's studied Presidential elections: The incumbent's approval rating pretty much equals the percentage of votes he winds up getting. Makes sense, right? So if Trump has 43% tops in job approval, that's what he'll get. The best he can hope for is 57% Biden 43% Trump!
But in the words of Kruchev: We will CARUSSSHH YOU!
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Heres more data...
Trunalimunumaprzure!!!....
You get that?...
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What a derp. Still believes the russian BS. Just goes to shiw how gullible libtards are
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Dumb fuck. You can't even get straight what the Russian propaganda is pushing! They want Trump re-elected, you idiot, they don't want Biden to win!
Fucking RETARD!
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Truthfully gents.... it's hard to say how this is gonna play out!! Who knows really!!! The polls are too inexact!! The fact they say within the percentage error of 4% is telling, and this suggests how inaccurate the data is..
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I know exactly how it’s gonna play out. You can
Bribe me with FX points if you need to know.
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Is this before or after the Republicans purge voter rolls? They'll let dems have the popular vote but pull their usual shady shit in the swing states.
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^^^^^
The election shenanigans look like they will all be done by the Dems.....they keep moving the date for counting out in states, not requiring matching signatures, etc.
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SOA this is already over. Unfortunately you will lose. POTUS has the enthusiasm. Biden has none. MSM and the pollsters have Gaslit you and the LIB nation.
Repubs lead in mail in and will come out bigly in person before the 3rd.
Listen, I cold be wrong. I don't have a crystal ball, but I don't think I am. It just doesn't look good for sleepy Joe. I will gladly admit it if I am.
P.S. Joe and Hunter are a proven National Security risk. The FBI had a FISA out in 2017 on Hunter's BIZ partner and law client ($1m retainer), the China SPY Chief that ran CEFC.
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^^ after that all Biden Texas events were cancelled.
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IF turnout is good for the libs, Biden wins Florida. Early tallied registered #s for libs are close to 300k more than republicans.
Not votes but which party they are registered with.
If Trump loses Florida. IT IS OVER.
NO NEED TO SPECULATE ANY FURTHER.
Florida is a must win for Trump.
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A lot of those democrats vote for Republicans. The Republicans have killed the dems in Florida early voting. Trump will win by twice the margin of 2016 at minimum. A 3 point win is looking very likely. Biden's only path was to flip the rust belt and thats not happening. CreamedbyAdams will be in a psych ward next week
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How do you get Cuban refugees in FLA to vote for Socialism?...
Like WTF are you smoking?
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^ I have read same about FL.
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And Venezuelans. There's a big number of them and they're to the right of Cubans. Nicaraguans as well.
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Since the polls have biden ahead in almost every battleground state, most by big margins, you would figure the networks would call them as soon as the polls close. That won't happen and all the libturds will know they've been had once again. Not only are they suppression polls but they were completely made up. Trump was never down
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No matter who wins the election, the only true winner(s) will be those countries very happy to have a fractured, divided US that is no longer able to lead.
So, perhaps stop seeing your fellow citizens as your enemies.
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What the fuck are trunalimunumaprzure and badakathcare?
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@PA970,
Not how the "D" or "Decision Desk" at networks work. First, they don't call a race, they make a projection of a likely winner based on sophisticated (and well validated) statistical models. The first input into the model are exit polls and polls of folks that voted by absentee ballots. Based on that data if the model shows it is >99.5% likely (199/200) that candidate A will be the winner then the network makes a projection. If not, then precinct data is used and a candidate is the projected winner when the model has a 99.5% confidence level.
By the way, the Venezuelans should be pissed at Trump since he sold out the opposition much worse than Kennedy screwed the Cubans at the Bay of Pigs. Sorta like what he did to the Kurds.
Stay tuned tomorrow when Quat will explain the reasons that Trump will lose in 2020.
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Tax Increases - First, a lot of Blue Staters are still smarting from the 2017 "tax reduction" that screwed them by capping deductions. So, I think we might see some relief thrown their way by a Biden administration. Biden says tax increases will not take place until earnings exceed 400K. I believe a Biden administration will initially focus on corporations that are paying much less than 21% coporate tax and push for an increase in the corporate tax rate. Since everyone now agrees that huge budget deficits are fine I don't see any advantage for the Democrats in raising individual taxes since they can just borrow money for their programs. The logic for tax increases just isn't there anymore if you can run deficits without any consequences. Now, of course, I expect Republicans to become true believers in balanced budgets once the Democrats assume total control. The unknown factor is whether the bond market is finally going to intercede and demand budget discipline.
Energy - The energy market is truly global and prices are mostly dependent on OPEC production levels and the production decisions by the rouge actors. There real looming crisis with energy is the potential collapse of the energy sector from its massive debt and low energy prices.
China Jobs - As one who is intricately involved in sourcing from China and has a lot of colleagues that do I think there will be a rethinking of supply chain dependency on China. Regardless who is elected President I anticipate that U.S. companies will shift production from China. It probably will not come back to the U.S. but there will be a decrease in China.
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Quat aka squatstopiss is in for a rude awakening next week. Trump will win by a bigger margin than 2016. The MSM and polling experts are already making excuses in case Trump wins. Minimum 322 electoral votes. 326 a very likely possibility for Trump
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Just today there's an article in the Washington post saying dems nervous in PA, Keith Ellison sounding the alarm on Minnesota, a des Moines register has Trump up 8 points just like their last poll 4 years ago, polls in WI, MI and PA showing Trump up and Nate silver hedging hard. The dims and polling industry are finished!!!
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Trump haters never cease to amaze me at how they hate so much and how they love calling Trump supporters names. Perhaps one could trace this back to the deplorable comment by Hillary Clinton which is just a thought I'm not want to argue about that I'm just making a point. But I see that a lot. I wasn't born in this country but the first thing I noticed when I arrived was that the TV news was really weird, and was so obviously fake to put is in simple terms. I couldn't help but notice how little in depth reporting there was everything was so superficial and some twenty plus years later its even more apparent how they just lie and I really think the Trump haters are in for a shock and I can only think that its the media to blame. And Like how the Meuller report came up empty- and I mean Trump was not convicted of any crime or was found to have colluded with Russia - the Trump haters didn't really seem to be at all concerned that they were lied to. They just kept on going listening to the mainstream media and her ewe are again. I do thing American's are great people though don't get me wrong from both political sides I just think there is a really angry set of leftists that are just like soccer hooligans who just so territorial they just hate the other side and want to physically hurt them and thats it.
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What do you mean that Nate Silver is hedging hard. Silver is a statistician, he lives in the world of probability. The outputs of his election model, as of today, are 89% probability of a Biden win and a 10% probability of a Trump win. Since Silver doesn't release his code there is no one that can evaluate the validity of the model. What you may think is hedging is just a statistician trying to explain what probability means.
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"Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016"
-Nate Silver took the difference between polling averages in battleground states in 2016 and actual results, and used those differences with polling averages in 2020, and found Biden is still ahead.
-The race does NOT appear to be tightening.
-Biden's current lead of 8 to 9 points nationally is rather large.
-Trump has a 10% chance of winning now. At the same time in 2016, he had a 35% chance.
Fingers crossed! We'll see Tuesday night!
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that early voting could be a bad thing...unfortunate the last debate was after voting started
fun to read the comments on liberal sourced media...it's not as favorable as you would think it should be for their candidate
on the conservative side...people are touching their Lil peens...99% of them with each comment
the facebook thing of holding up democrat ads? this could be called damage control...shit is not remotely equal in what was held up...combine that with 100m plus from various billionaires on state ad blitzes (still not sure how this is legal btw), and it's a meaningless hold back by FB and the DEM party
Trump had great things to say about all the money being poured into Lil house races...where they used to be won with 500k and now 10's of millions being dropped in from all over, including the entertainment industry...nice speech at the first stop today...very nice matter of fact tone.
We had one dude drop his much held back rant today...I knew it was there...just needed a Lil encouragement...probably won't hear from the alter ego in the same fashion though...why would that be?
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https://fb.watch/1tRtzNw3ft/
I did vote but I have my doubts but Just saying
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^
No facts, just conspiracy theory
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"Fake news" is what the Russians spread about Hillary in order for Trump to win the election. So of course it makes sense that he would co-opt the word--as would his mindless zombie followers--and use that against Democrats or anyone who aren't right wing nut jobs--to ignore news that doesn't make them happy.
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SAO, you're a dummy.
Hilly lost cause Comey torpedoed her in the week before the election, lol
Plus half the people didn't like her anyway.
Russian disinformation
Can't you fuckers just wait til Tuesday to see which criminal wins?
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Hey SON!!!! At the end of the day! it's hard to tell how Tuesday is gonna play out. BIDEN? OR the INCUMBENT? The FAT DUDE!!!
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"Biden says tax increases will not take place until earnings exceed 400K"
And, I promise not to come in your mouth.
C'mon man!
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"The FAT DUDE!!!"
Didn't know you were running, Fat Fukk!
You got my vote!
When you said that, it reminded me of the Axios Interview when Trump looked like he was sitting on the toilet taking a dump.
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sounds like a great line of videos...just staying with that same line and premise
kinda like "just the tip"
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Dumb as fuck to tout any polls
The honest pollsters admit their job is now harder than Chink math
Nobody answers the phone anymore and nobody tells the truth when they do pick up
Trafalgar is one of the few that use the right algorithms to ferret out true answers but even then, they can be wrong.
I say we wait til Wednesday morning and see how long the lawyers say it'll take for someone to put the fix in for one of these old white fuckers. Meanwhile stock up on ammo, lock and load just in case the balloon goes up
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FATFUKK, you've been listening to these Russian bots for too long. Don't worry. I reiterate:
"Bottom line as per a reporter who's studied Presidential elections: The incumbent's approval rating pretty much equals the percentage of votes he winds up getting. Makes sense, right? So if Trump has 43% tops in job approval, that's what he'll get. The best he can hope for is 57% Biden 43% Trump!"
And as for you brainwashed cult followers, Biden raising taxes is another simplistic Republican talking point. Biden's lowering the middle class' & raising the corporations & upper middle class'. As it should be. Reagan started the large divide between the middle class & upper class & we've got to correct for that.
That's all you got to scare people into voting for Trump, who took away all the tax deductions & made the middle class pay more in taxes?!
Put yourself under suicide watch. The election will look best for Trump on Tuesday night because more Repugs will vote in person that day, which is what'll be counted 1st. But as we've seen in CA, as the days go on, the Democratic vote (early voters, mail in ballots) will increase & it'll be clear Trump lost the election. Of course, sore loser knows this, so he's set us to be divided again by saying if he doesn't win, it's rigged.
WHAT A LOSER. Can't wait to see him cry on camera. Whine whine whine. Wahhhh! "Everybody's out to get me." Yeah, cos you deserve it. Payback's a bitch!
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If Biden wins will republicans block intersection, protest and loot business? probably not but if Trump wins?
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There are 42 comments on this blog. This blog is locked and no further comments are permitted. |