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Angler1
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Locked. No further comments permitted.Britain announces 4-week lockdown part 2
Nov 2 2020 12:43AM more by Angler1
Tags: Leisure

Kit car guy, night rider, says he has proof lockdowns work, and Santa Claus is fake..

Please show us proof, not opinion, please.

Attached Links
https://www.humaniplex.com/blogs/657464/
      
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Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:45AM     link to this

he fact that countries are locking down proves that all this talk about lockdowns not working is bullshit, because they wouldn't have tried them if they haven't worked in the past. Of course it doesn't prove that they will work this time.

They didn't work last time..
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 12:47AM     link to this

There is a lot of talk about lockdowns not working at all, and my point was the leaders would have tried this approach if lockdowns were thought to never work.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:49AM     link to this

this is what you said... LOL

"he fact that countries are locking down proves that all this talk about lockdowns not working is bullshit,"

You can't have it both ways Libtard.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 12:51AM     link to this

Evidence lockdowns worked:

"Governments around the world are responding to the coronavirus disease 2019
(COVID-19) pandemic , caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus
(SARS-CoV-2), with unprecedented policies designed to slow the growth rate of
infections. Many policies, such as closing schools and restricting populations to their
homes, impose large and visible costs on society; however, their benefits cannot be
directly observed and are currently understood only through process-based simulations . Here we compile data on 1,700 local, regional and national non-pharmaceutical interventions that were deployed in the ongoing pandemic across localities in China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France and the United States. We then apply reduced-form econometric methods, commonly used to measure the effect of policies on economic growth , to empirically evaluate the effect that these anti-contagion policies have had on the growth rate of infections. In the absence of policy actions, we estimate that early infections of COVID-19 exhibit exponential growth rates of approximately 38% per day. We find that anti-contagion policies have significantly and substantially slowed this growth. Some policies have different effects on different populations, but we obtain consistent evidence that the policy packages that were deployed to reduce the rate of transmission achieved large, beneficial and measurable health outcomes. We estimate that across these 6 countries, interventions prevented or delayed on the order of 61 million confirmed cases, corresponding to averting approximately 495 million total infections. These findings may help to inform decisions regarding whether or when these policies should be deployed, intensified or lifted, and they can support policy-making in the more than 180 other countries in which COVID-19 has been reported ."
Attached Links
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2404-8
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:52AM     link to this

that isn't what you said..
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:52AM     link to this

read what you just posted, opinion
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 12:52AM     link to this

"You can't have it both ways Libtard."

The second way I said it was more articulate and the correct way.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:54AM     link to this

"the fact that countries are locking down proves that all this talk about lockdowns not working is bullshit,"


So, you are telling lies too?
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 12:55AM     link to this

^How could it be a lie if, according to you, it's just an opinion?
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 12:58AM     link to this

These findings may help to inform decisions regarding whether or when these policies should be deployed, intensified or lifted,


Again, opinion. Just look at the word "may".. LOL




Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 12:59AM     link to this

Fine, it's an opinion, but it's many degrees removed from an opinion that has no basis in facts.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:00AM     link to this

Again, please show proof to the rest of us, that you have proof that masks and lockdowns work.

If not, STFU.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:02AM     link to this

Correction in what I wrote in caps:

"There is a lot of talk about lockdowns not working at all, and my point was the leaders WOULDN'T have tried this approach if lockdowns were thought to never work."
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:04AM     link to this

FUCK kit car guy, you're going backwards again... You have NO FACTS to support your opinions.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:05AM     link to this

There is a consensus among most epidemiologists that lockdowns and masks do work. That is the strongest argument you are going to get.

And no, opinions based heavily on facts and a consensus of opinion counts for something, so I won't shut the fuck up. You can't act like Donald Trump would and try to intimidate me.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:10AM     link to this

consensus does not equal facts. Please look it up in the dictionary..
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:12AM     link to this

I didn't say that it did.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:12AM     link to this

"consensus of opinion counts for something"

You are absolutely right, is does count as an opinion..
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:15AM     link to this

^Not all opinions are equal. I can have an opinion that lockdowns are going to bring demons into the world, but this opinion is much less credible than an opinion heavily based on the facts, as I presented to you above. And add a consensus that most epidemiologists agree with this opinion, and you have a well-regarded opinion.

Not all opinions are weighted the same.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:16AM     link to this

an opinion is just that, an opinion..

Where did you get your education?
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:16AM     link to this

"FUCK kit car guy, you're going backwards again... You have NO FACTS to support your opinions."

I have plenty of facts to support the opinions. I just gave you an article full of facts backing up the opinion that lockdowns work.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:18AM     link to this

"an opinion is just that, an opinion.."

That's YOUR opinion, and most would not agree.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:18AM     link to this

facts? LOL To support opinions?
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:19AM     link to this

^Of course. An opinion or hypothesis is built on using facts as building blocks to make an argument.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:20AM     link to this

Been asking for facts from you for days, you keep posting opinions...
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:20AM     link to this

an argument is still an opinion, correct?
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:21AM     link to this

Well, you're not going to get facts. You're going to get very well-regarded opinions that are based on data, which are facts.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:22AM     link to this

So you can't prove masks or lockdowns work. Thought so.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:24AM     link to this

OK, back to Santa. How can you prove Santa is not real? I got a brand new Razor 1000 turbo for Christmas.. I never paid for it...
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:26AM     link to this

You are disregarding the facts and logic that go into these conclusions, as well as the fact they are well-regarded by most epidemiologists.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:27AM     link to this

OPINIONS
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:28AM     link to this

Other epidemiologists have their own opinions too, why not believe them?
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:29AM     link to this

^are not all equal
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:30AM     link to this

"Other epidemiologists have their own opinions too, why not believe them?"

Because when you think about the problem, what they say is refuted by the evidence.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:30AM     link to this

who decides that, you? LOL
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:31AM     link to this

^I think most people would agree.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:31AM     link to this

Refuted, but not by facts... Noted...
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:32AM     link to this

I see a part 3 coming.. LOL
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:38AM     link to this

Maybe you can fill us in on Santa Claus, since you can't on lockdowns and masks.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:44AM     link to this

Ok. I'll give you an example. Epidemiologists against lockdowns claim that you don't have to shut things down to lower levels of new cases. You can just isolate the vulnerable and let everyone else live their lives. But the data show that isolating the vulnerable isn't really possible -- while new cases may start in the young and less vulnerable that doesn't isolate, they eventually tend to transmit to older, more vulnerable isolating folk. We see this through an increase in new cases in the elderly after an increase in new cases in the young.

You need to control new cases throughout the population in order to protect the vulnerable.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:46AM     link to this

The facts refute the strategy these anti-lockdown epidemiologists are pushing. The isolating vulnerable people will eventually get the virus when you try their strategy.
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:46AM     link to this

examples are not facts..
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:47AM     link to this

But keep searching....
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:48AM     link to this

I gave you an example of why I disagree with the epidemiologists who are anti-lockdown.
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:49AM     link to this

The facts refute the strategy these anti-lockdown epidemiologists are pushing. The isolating vulnerable people will eventually get the virus when you try their strategy.
Angler1
CA
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since Jan 6 2008

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Nov 2 2020 01:50AM     link to this

You have posted no facts!
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:54AM     link to this

"But the data show that isolating the vulnerable isn't really possible -- while new cases may start in the young and less vulnerable that doesn't isolate, they eventually tend to transmit to older, more vulnerable isolating folk. We see this through an increase in new cases in the elderly after an increase in new cases in the young."
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:56AM     link to this

what does that have to do with your facts?
Angler1
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Nov 2 2020 01:57AM     link to this

Let me re-phase, lack of facts...
Night-Rider
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Nov 2 2020 01:57AM     link to this

I'm done. It's like talking to am imbecile. I tried. I failed.
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