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It's a model. That can be shaped into anything you like.
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Of course it can. However, this model is the best available data-driven estimate from the nation's highest level agency.
If anything, the model has underestimated the number of deaths over the last 6 weeks.
Although I suppose some people prefer just pulling numbers out of thin air in order to fit a preferred narrative.
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A new model from the University of Washington echoes the predictions from CDC.
Cites the premature easing of social distancing recommendations and increased mobility as key factors.
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about 34% of our population thinks it's fake
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They also thought it was fake about 68,000 deaths ago.
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The thing that people can't seem to wrap their heads around is that C-19 is here to stay.
It may mutate into a less virulent form but it's not going away, it'll be around just like a cold, the flu, influenza, now known as COPD, etc etc. and this initial iteration is going to take at least 1-1 1/2 years to get a handle on.
Atticus Finch
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I don't think anyone is deluded enough to think that this will just go away (except maybe the president).
The question is, how do we intelligently deal with this as a country without an inordinate number of deaths?
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you dont really believe all that 68k people died from covid..
our hospice patient just passed away from her natural death at age 92.. coroner classified it as COVID
let that sink in
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that's exactly what ny did, claimed all the deaths from nursing homes were virus related
big scam
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Will hit 100,000 fairly soon. Just happenstance that so many are dying at once in nursing homes ???
Come on.
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You seen this right?
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
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So how long should this shutdown continue?
Many of you seem to thing that this shut down can continue for
several more months without any real damage to the economy.
With over 30 million people unemployed due to the shutdown,
many will be permanently lose their jobs if this shutdown continues
for several more months.
Dumping trillions of borrowed dollars into the economy to keep it from
collapsing can't be good in the long run.
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I see smart business open where social distance is practiced and people wearing face mask. Only the dumb ones don’t bother and aren’t allowed to open.
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Either we should ramp up testing to 20,000,000 people a day or continue to shutdown the economy. Or we could do some combination of testing (say 6,000,000 a day) and a far lesser shutdown.
The point is, we should try to do something and not just put our thumbs up our asses either watching the economy go to shit or watching 50,000 more people lose their lives thinking there is nothing we can do about it.
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Calm down business are going to open soon. Start figuring out how to open yours safely instead of nagging like a bitch.
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And, with that, will come the deaths.
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You do realize we have quite a few people working....millions of people are out there making contacts on a daily basis.....so not sure what that does to testing and modeling....
If you test 20 million, that means 310 million are still out there doing whatever....and any contact they have with anyone else can bring about an infection.
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You do realize that randomly sampling 20,000,000 for testing means we test the entire population in 16 days. If we quarantine immediately upon positive tests, the results would be extraordinary.
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But don't take my word for it...Take the word of a Nobel laureate.
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You do realize they are proposing a total shutdown until the end of June and then very slow opening in July.....60 more days of crumbling economy....there isn't enough money to bail out all of the business and people who will be bankrupt by then......
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Yeah, I agree we can't withstand a long shutdown economically for more than 3 months.
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And don't worry, Jazz. It's not going to happen. We're going to open things up and keep testing sub-standard as well.
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And the best therapeutic, remdesivir is a good start, but not everyone is going to be able to get it, which means the dynamics of the infection aren't going to probably change a whole lot.
Let's hope the NY clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine comes back with a good result. Or we come up with other therapeutics and fast.
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@DrBoogie dude your profile says you're 60. I don't know if that is true but if it is you are in the vulnerable population of covid 19.
"How long do you think the shut down should last?"
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How about this shutdown or no shutdown. None of this posting shit makes a damn on the matter. So while we all get all pissy with each other AINT a damn thing we can do about it other than stay home or go out. Covid WILL run its course and eventually we will be bankrupt and working or bankrupt and not working.
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Btw not everyone needs remdesivir only the people hospitalized with Cocid 19 need it. Soooooo there's more than enough to go around.
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"The cost of reopening the economy, in lives"
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There is not enough remdisivir for those people who are sick enough to receive it.
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More fear porn from the fear purveyors. See links please.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1545C_dJWMIAgqeLEsfo2U8Kq5WprDuARXrJl6N1aDjY/edit
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_policy/Provisional-Death-Counts-COVID-19-Pneumonia-and-Influenza.pdf
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On the availability of remdesivir. I'm optimistic that we can catch up production.
Not a whole lot of optimism going around these days.
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cdc has never gotten anything correct, just like the cbo
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@dude
That's Newman he is a idiot...
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| There are 34 comments on this blog. |
