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KaiserSoce
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Locked. No further comments permitted.Odds on the election?
Jul 15 2020 05:33PM more by KaiserSoce
Tags: Current Events

No need to explain... just who do you think will Be the President the day after the Inauguration 2021.

Not who you WANT to win...

Who you think will win.
      
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InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 05:35PM     link to this

perfect thread...let's place some bets. bitcoin and or losers delete accts
KaiserSoce
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Jul 15 2020 05:35PM     link to this

As of today

Biden -150
Trump +135
KaiserSoce
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Jul 15 2020 05:39PM     link to this

So for those uninformed about betting..... Trump is the underdog right now. Biden the favorite.
notsofast
OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 05:40PM     link to this

Can I parlay one of these dudes to Moscow Mitch?
InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 05:43PM     link to this

yep...saw that. we shall see how good they are with the handicapping

sherkahn
Diamond Bar, SGV, LA, CA
Pomona, Inland Empire, CA Today!
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Jul 15 2020 05:51PM     link to this

Normally I would say this is a done deal, but Biden has yet to show a viable strong alternative lead, and can still fuck up big time.
Night-Rider
OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 05:53PM     link to this

I think you have it about right, Kaiser.

If COVID gets better by October, like I think it will at this point, and the economy gets better, the race will tighten.
KaiserSoce
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Jul 15 2020 06:56PM     link to this

Director of the CDC said yesterday that if we are having these surges in mid summer it’s hard to imagine what October/November will be like when actual flu season hits.

I think this thing is with us until a vaccine is released late November, December.

Not hearing many predictions. Everyone still hedging.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 07:04PM     link to this

Kanye for the win!
Even though he dropped out........
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 07:06PM     link to this

Sorry to slide this into your blog but you opened the door with the vaccine talk.

Moderna Phase 3 went well, according to them anyway
Pfizer is fast-tracked also
Moderna moving on to Phase 4 with 30,000 people
Feds spent half a billion to contract delivery devices already, kinda early but what the hey
InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 07:12PM     link to this

I'll take trump and the points I guess...bring on the bets
Zeros
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 07:23PM     link to this

I think this thing is with us until a vaccine is released late November, December.



Where did you hear this?
KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:39PM     link to this

Did you guys see Scaramucci’s tweet today after Kanye dropped out after just 10 days?

“According to my calculations, @KanyeWest presidential bid lasted one full Scaramucci.”

LOL... gotta admit... he’s got a decent sense of humor about his 10 day stint as White House Communications Director.
Chucklaylo
City of Ventura, Ventura, Central Coast, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:40PM     link to this

If there are actual debates, it will be Trump.
InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:42PM     link to this

saw him on a late-night show last year talking cracking a joke about that new time measurement




juliuscaesar1
City of Los Angeles, LA, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:43PM     link to this

How many Scaramuccis do HX marriages last?
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:45PM     link to this

3 Nano-Scaramuccis or so
KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:50PM     link to this

Moderna approved for human Trials this week. 4-6 weeks in trials. 2 weeks finalizing data and submitting to the FDA.... fast tracked through FDA review... if all that goes as hoped....mass production starts in November.
Depending on the process... available late this year... Maybe early next.

Hopefully they are first to market. ( I made a little stock bet back in April)

Up about bought at 31 in April. Closed at 80 today. If it can close the deal... every government in the world will be at their door.



juliuscaesar1
City of Los Angeles, LA, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:54PM     link to this

@GBD Ha!!

Enough time for 2 or 3 shots on goal.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 09:58PM     link to this

And have enough time left to get home for corn flakes
Night-Rider
OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 10:00PM     link to this

I know what the CDC guy said, but I’m sorta skeptical that we’re going to see a large seasonal effect. I mean, the virus didn’t let up during the summer? I still think that overall things will clear up in a few months, like they cleared up in the northeast. Just a guess.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 15 2020 10:07PM     link to this

4 states have been caught over-counting now
We have no idea where we stand in case counts, lol
What a Clusterfuck
DudeLebowski
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Jul 16 2020 12:46AM     link to this

They say 200,000 plus American could die before the election from covid. Americans are barred from entering Europe.The US has the most cases and covid deaths by more than any other country on earth. 30 million Americans unemployed, the economy will struggle for sometime to recover. Trump holds rally and promotes not wearing masks in spite of the fact his own administration says they help slow the spread.

Where are his taxes?
He said he would release them but instead he has fought it all the way to the Supreme Court. You will vote for him a second time KNOWING he's hide something there.

He was impeached for trying to blackmail Ukraine. Since then John Bolton Trump's Nation Security Advisor, who was there, has said not only did he blackmail Ukraine he tried to get China to help him with the re election.

He grants Roger Stone clemency. The guy you was funneling information to Trump about the stolen DNC emails. A major part of the Russia investigation.

Some how Paul Manafort was released and sent home from prison after serving just 23 months of a 7.5 year sentence. For covid reasons lol. Another main player in the Russia investigation.

Bill Barr Trump's fixer tried to through out the Mike Flynn's case even though he plead guilty to his crimes.

During time of racial protest Triump at no time tried to bring the country together. He actually tried to drive people further apart.


on, and on, and on, and on..............................

Can I ask what in hell would make you want to vote for Trump and his nonsense for another 4 years.
Do you think the covid crisis has been handled properly?
InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 01:58AM     link to this

like clockwork...the rant comes in


besides that bitching...you can always try and win some money on your sure thing...either on the gambling site or from here. maybe throw in an account deletion (although we lose the enjoyment factor each time a new SCOTUS pick will be put on the bench)







KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 16 2020 05:51AM     link to this

Hey Doofey Dumfuk... is it sounds like you are leaning towards voting for Joe. But that’s just one vote... in California no less.

But rather than ramble about your disappointments and frustrations why don’t you tell us who You think going to win?
jimmmyz
OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 07:50AM     link to this

KaiserSoce will win on a write in ballot!
PA970deep
Long Beach, LA, CA
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Jul 16 2020 09:39AM     link to this

Dudeleblowsdick with his Marxist drivel again.
phlampson
Inland Empire, CA
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Jul 16 2020 09:42AM     link to this

Trump has a record-high unfavorability rating for an incumbent. Virtually no way he can turn that around.

The X-factor is how far he is willing to go to cheat his way to a victory.

A lot of good and decent Germans were complacent in the 30's. I hope we have learned their lessons.
savetheclocktower
Buena Park, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 09:45AM     link to this

The GOP represents only 30% of the country , 2016 was a fluke and a perfect storm. They're are just too conservative for 2020 , they think they're not conservative enough , it's not 1950 anymore?
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 10:17AM     link to this

Well, at least Dumb Doofy posts stuff that MIGHT actually be happening, even though he's, as usual, off topic.

Lampson brings on the cheating and the Nazis, lol
Seriously? The only ones that cheated last go around were the DNC and Hillary......yet, it didn't work.
Why even bother posting dumb shit stuff like that, both off topic and lies to boot.
I'm not even a Trump fan but can see thru the stupid in that post.......
jackrabbit33
La Jolla, San Diego, CA
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Jul 16 2020 11:36AM     link to this

I think polls are total BS right now...

Both candidates gaves speeches the other day. Biden looked nervous, coughing and flubbed up numbers. Trump starts talking about the economy and CNN/MSNBC immediately break away claiming Trump was "incoherent and rambling" while giving Biden high Mark's. Biden took no questions from the press while Trump has no fear of taking questions.

TOTAL MSM BULLSHIT.

As for the election I think there will be a marked disparity between the electoral and popular results.

I dont think the left will keep the moderate Dems together with the radical left and Biden will show his incompetence down the line.

thinking people see through this charade and Trump clenches electoral votes.
hercule
OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 11:49AM     link to this

If I had to predict today who would win, I'd say DT.

But a lot of things can still happen and it is really up to DT to say the right things....which he is not very good at.
KaiserSoce
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Jul 16 2020 12:00PM     link to this

I think the polls are accurate ... for who they are polling.

It will be interesting. I read an article yesterday saying the Dems in Pennsylvania are happy Biden is leading by 12-13 points in the recent polls... but they are nervous because the believe there is a large number of silent or secret Voters who don’t do polls, don’t talk about their vote... but come election time... they will show up. They have no idea how great or small that number actually is... but they are concerned about it.

I think there are a lot of people like that. “I don’t need to argue with you about it. I don’t need to convince you. I’m not participating in polls or focus groups. I’m going to work... coming home... and I’ll vote in November.”

In my relationships outside oF HX ... few people know my political persuasion... and few know who I’m voting for.

I’m guessing there are one or two more like me.
Attached Links
Secret voters lol
KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 16 2020 12:07PM     link to this

I am guessing the debates will tip the scales one way or another. Biden doesn’t have to win... he just has to prove 2 things:

1. He is not mentally diminished.
2. He can handle a bully. Hate Trump if you like... but he is strong, forceful and aggressive. A lot of people want a leader like that.

Biden doesn’t have to “Win.” He just can’t get beat up... and get dominated.
Juanita

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Jul 16 2020 12:10PM     link to this

I enjoy gambling and am looking at the election odds daily. Saw Biden and -170 this morning and Trump at +150 and another casino offers Biden at -163 and Trump at +137

4 years ago I lost a large bet (for me) but was watching "live betting" which is betting during the election. I made out real good in that as you could bet State by State and just watch the returns and have a pretty good idea of how each State was likely to go.

Notice that Biden is favored by -300 in Pennsylvania, -325 in Michigan, and -130 in Florida. I think those were 3 key States in the 2016 election. I could be wrong but I don't see Trump winning this election unless he wins at least 2 of those 3 States.

So much can change so quickly that I don't want to bet now for a variety of reasons and one would be that I don't want to tie up money until November. Another is just that something can happen to sway my opinion and prefer to bet the week of the election.

I will be watching these numbers daily.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 12:38PM     link to this

What about AMLO?
Zeros
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 12:51PM     link to this

I feed my dog ALPO, does that count?
InsearchofStarfish
Santa Ana, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 12:58PM     link to this

alpo...that still around? opened many many cans of that back in the 70's
stixie
Woodland Hills, SFV, LA, CA
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Jul 16 2020 05:51PM     link to this

When you guys are making up these odds are you taking in that spineless orange piece of shit's cheat factor? That plays right into the GOP's voter suppression and corrupt gerrymandering tactics.

You THINK Biden will win but then the GOP FUCKS YOU and you end up with 4 more years of crybaby bone spurs and his nonstop twitter whine fest.

Don't make the mistake of thinking that you live in a democracy and that the will of the people matters. Republicans will tell you with a huge smile on their faces that you DON'T.

It's 50/50 at best

tRumps biggest problem is that he isn't running against Shillary. People just don't hate Biden...he's that fucking bland. Trumpanzees run on hate and fear..... when they can't get people outside of their base to hate and fear the same people they do they are kind of at a loss.

This is when trumpanzees favorite behavior of being shitty, hateful, and insulting of EVERYONE who isn't on the tRump train will probably bite them in the ass. You aren't attracting voters when you lie and treat everyone like shit.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 06:49PM     link to this

LOL it's apparently true
Even assholes can have opinions!
KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 16 2020 07:03PM     link to this

“This is when trumpanzees favorite behavior of being shitty, hateful, and insulting of EVERYONE who isn't on the tRump train will probably bite them in the ass.”

If those are the characteristics.... are you sure you aren’t a trumpanzee? Your comments treat those on the other side pretty shitty, hateful and insulting.

Oh yeah... your are justified because you think you are right.
NPembrush
Lake Forest, OC, CA
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Jul 16 2020 10:25PM     link to this

Can write in Gina Galaxy?
stixie
Woodland Hills, SFV, LA, CA
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Jul 16 2020 10:28PM     link to this

It's hilarious that trumpanzees think there will be no backlash to their behavior.

Oh wait..... here comes the part where they claim to be the victim.
KaiserSoce
CA
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Jul 16 2020 10:55PM     link to this

LOL....

So that’s your justification for being a prick?

“You started it!”

Haaaaaaa
inventor1948
Coastal, LA, CA
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Jul 16 2020 11:11PM     link to this

We still don't know who Biden will choose for VP (or you ain't black).
stixie
Woodland Hills, SFV, LA, CA
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Jul 17 2020 12:37AM     link to this

That higher road bullshit is for the fucking weak ass liberals, and it is getting them nowhere.

Be a prick to a bunch of pricks... You gotta speak their language. Raised republican back in those shit hole red states, I know the fucking game. Liberals have become so fucking insulated and disconnected they don't even get it anymore.

One might rightly notice that it got your attention......sooooo.....
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