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Grumpy_Butthead
NM
2174 blogs/22728 comments
since Jan 30 2016

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Written 4-2-2020
Feb 23 2021 06:09PM more by Grumpy_Butthead
Tags: Central Coast, Random (All tags)

At its worse, the Spanish flu infected 500 million people worldwide, which at the time was about a third of the Earth’s population. More than 50 million people died of the disease, with 675,000 in the U.S. There is some disagreement on that figure, with recent researchers suggesting it was about 17.4 million deaths, while others go as high as 100 million. Generally speaking, the fatality rate for the Spanish flu is calculated at about 2%.

Although it is something of a moving target as more deaths occur and broader diagnostic testing is performed, finding higher levels of infection, sometimes with no symptoms, the global fatality rate for COVID-19 as of April 1 is about 5%, although in the U.S. it is about 2.16%. Some experts believe the 5% figure is significantly lower because of doubts about the accuracy of China’s reporting of the cases, where COVID-19 originated.

Some experts, such as Anthony Fauci, director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, who is something of the public point-man for the U.S. response to COVID-19, project the fatality rate will be about 1%, which is still about 10 times the fatality rate of a typical seasonal influenza of 0.1%.

Another commonality between the Spanish flu’s H1N1 and the COVID-19 coronavirus is that both are considered “novel,” which is to say, they are so new nobody in either era had any immunity to them. One marked difference between the two is the most affected groups in the 1918 pandemic were otherwise healthy adults between the ages of 20 to 40. Mortality was also higher in people younger than five years of age and 65 and older.

“The 1918 pandemic strain influenza was new and novel for most people under the age of 40 or 50, but that’s where the death rate really was high—that’s different than the usual flu,” Mark Schleiss, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the University of Minnesota told Healthline.
      
There are 9 comments on this blog.
s1xxpy
Manhattan Beach, Coastal, LA, CA
3 blogs/110 comments
since Sep 3 2019

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Feb 23 2021 07:14PM     link to this

"nobody in either era had any immunity to them." Interesting read 👍
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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since Dec 12 2019

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Feb 23 2021 10:14PM     link to this

What's the source of your copy/paste?
There's lots of incorrect information in it.
"Novel" means new, not seen in humans before.......it has nothing to do with immunity levels.
Obviously, when 99+% remain alive after being infected, there is a great deal of immunity to the symptoms in that population but it's still transmissible.

Also, the real CFR is a function of actual infections, not positive tests recorded....so the denominator is off by many factors. Some epidemiologists calculate that there are over 200 million actual infections in the US alone, which means the real Car is more like .0025 - .004. Certainly higher than an average flu season but not what the media would have you believe.

The recent rapid decline in cases is most likely prima facie evidence that total infections are much higher than reported and we're likely to reach herd immunity sooner than originally thought. Social behavior hasn't changed that much in the last 60 days.

I'd be curious to hear where this info came from so I can gauge who these people are trying to trigger.
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Feb 23 2021 10:17PM     link to this

Healthline?
GoBallsDeep
Fullerton, OC, CA
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Feb 23 2021 10:20PM     link to this

Sorry, just noticed the headline "written 4/2020"

OK, why repost this now, please give some context
Grumpy_Butthead
NM
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Feb 23 2021 11:04PM     link to this

I was just showing an opinion from back then.
I thought it was interesting too bad you didn't notice the headline.
Grumpy_Butthead
NM
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Feb 24 2021 07:21AM     link to this

^ anger management ^ ?
NPembrush
Lake Forest, OC, CA
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since Jul 19 2018

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Feb 24 2021 10:01AM     link to this

Butt_head. I think it is more of Coprolalia.
hyder
SGV, LA, CA
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since Mar 11 2008

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Feb 24 2021 04:50PM     link to this

Wear a mask

Get the shot and STFU.

it is real, my very close friend died of it.

This is not a political debate.
Grumpy_Butthead
NM
2174 blogs/22728 comments
since Jan 30 2016

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Feb 24 2021 06:51PM     link to this

Yes all mighty 1st amendment suppressor
Sorry for your and everyone else's loss.

Who talking politics? The blog is about some opinions from 11 months ago.
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